9 Baylor last week. * next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover. Last season, Penn State pulled out a 28-20 home victory over the then-No. Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 3, and which Top 25 favorite goes down hard? But Alex Grinchs turnover-reliant USC defense wont be able to take advantage of NFL prospect Jake Haener, who has been intercepted in just one of his past nine games. The Cornhuskers also lost to Northwestern as 12.5-point favorites in Week 0, so the betting market has been way off on them multiple times this season. Granted, it played Kent State and Portland State, but for an offense that eclipsed 31 points just once in 2021, not too shabby. And at least in the first game of the post-Frost era, Nebraska won't lose by single digits. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. CFB Week 3 Predictions #16 Coastal Carolina (2-0) at Buffalo (1-1) Since last year, Coastal Carolina has established itself as one of the best group of five programs. Oregon is looking to extend its 20-game home winning streak, while BYU is coming off a double-overtime win against then-No. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 game 10,000 times with surprising results Baylor won 29-20 last year on the road. No pressure, kid. 24 Texas A&M (-6.5) vs. No. The last time Oregon played a top 25 team, the Ducks were embarrassed by Georgia, losing 49-3 in Week 1. SportsLine's model believes the loss to Marshall has created value on the Fighting Irish as 12-point favorites this week, as they are covering the spread in more than 50% of the latest simulations. The Tide will just be even more focused on not making mistakes against a team they were already going to pummel. Under Kirby Smart, Georgia has covered fewer than 38 percent of its games as a favorite of at least 20 points. While everyone marveled at USC's transfer portal all-star team, Lane Kiffin built another one of his own at Ole Miss. This week, the show continues at Oregon. Florida's Anthony Richardson threw for two touchdowns and ran for 115 yards with a TD, on just four carries, during last season's 41-20 victory over USF. College football picks, predictions against the spread for Week 3 Top 25 games, Ranking Nebraska's 10 best candidates to replace Scott Frost. You don't go under on 39.5. AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Notre Dame held a 10-7 lead at No. Akron just lost 52-0 to Michigan State. Nevada scored 32, threw for 476 yards and recorded 30 first downs. And that could make for a close, ugly, low-scoring affair against a team that has fit that mold over the past four seasons. UTSA at Texas | Miami at Texas A&M Louisiana-Monroe beat Alabama 21-14 in Saban's first season in 2014. So what college football picks can you make with confidence? They are 8.5-point underdogs at Houston in the latest Week 3 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook. 10:43 am ET, see the top Week 3 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee, Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine, Alabama hires former Texas, UL coach Strong as analyst, Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, 23 things to watch during 2023 spring football, Lincoln Riley opens up on Year 2 expectations, Big Ten, CFP committee adds Hall of Fame coach for 2023, Bob Diaco reunites with Brian Kelly at LSU, College football Week 3 expert picks, parlay, best bets, 23 things to watch as spring practices begin, Report: Alabama hires Charlie Strong as analyst, Ex-Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, Diaco reunites with Kelly, joins LSU staff as analyst, Ex-Tennessee staffers penalized for NCAA violations. Maybe the Layne Hatcher-to-Ashtyn Hawkins connection will burn Baylor once or twice, but the Bobcats won't score enough to make this interesting. Best bets: Toledo, San Diego State, Fresno State This season: 11-17-2 2014-21 record: 1,030-970-19, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. 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Kevin McGuire, NittanyLionsWire.com: Florida State* CONSENSUS PICK: Florida State, Week 3 College Football Expert Picks Prediction: Clemson 56, Louisiana Tech 13, No. Tennessee hasn't started 3-0 since 2016, so there should be plenty of motivation for Josh Heupel's group to stay focused. 14 Utah vs. San Diego State, 10 p.m. on ESPN2. One year ago, this was a triple-overtime showdown won by the Aztecs, who finished with just 248 yards. 12 BYU. New customers only. The Zips are bad, and they are coming off a 52-0 loss at Michigan State. Arizona Cardinals: Picks 3, 34, 66, 105, 169, 180. 12 BYU hosts No. Third-Likeliest: Duquesne at Hawaii, 11:59 p.m. Duquesne got stomped by Florida State in Week 0 and didn't fare much better last week against Youngstown State. Prediction: Indiana 28, Western Kentucky 24, California at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. on NBC. Week 3 college football schedule and picks All times Eastern Saturday college football picks No. But after Scott Frost was fired followed Nebraska's 45-42 home loss to Georgia Southern last Saturday, that's where things stand. ET on Saturday. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has played seven games against FBS opponents in the past decade. 5 Clemson vs. Louisiana Tech, 8 p.m. on ACC Network. Oregon didn't do so well in its last game against a ranked opponent, as it was blown out of the water by Georgia in Week 1. So what are Week 3's top candidates, you might wonder? 22 Penn State at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. on CBS. There aren't players like Michael Hall Jr., Zach Harrison and Tommy Eichenberg in the MAC, though. Ole Miss lost its star quarterback from last season to the NFL, but that has not stopped its offense from being in strong form early in the year. Pick: USC wins 42-27 and COVERS the spread. The Vols can pick their score here, but the only question is how soon they will pull off knowing that Florida is on the schedule in Week 4. It's an efficient machine with Caleb Williams at quarterback. Another one of the model's college football picks: The No. The Red Raiders have never taken down multiple Top 25, non-conference foes in any regular season. There are also some large favorites among the Week 3 college football lines, with No. We had to temper expectations for Wake Forest when it was announced in the preseason that he would be out indefinitely, but it seems like it's time to start thinking about this as one of the nation's top offenses again. No one in the Associated Press Top Five bit the dust, but three Top 10 teams lost and five Top 20 teams lost at home. The Bulldogs have two quarterbacks in Parker McNeil and Parker Downing, but they won't have much success against the Tigers' defense. The Yellow Jackets 120th-ranked offense isnt equipped to keep pace with the second-fastest offense in the land. Aggies coach Jimbo Fisher isn't ready to make changes or give up calling plays,and their defense is still relatively stout. Throw in the fact that UTSA nearly knocked off then-No. 16 Miami at No. One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 3: No. 9 Baylor in double overtime. 15 Michigan State and pulling out a three-point win at Ball State. Last week, the dynamic quarterback pulled one out without his top two receivers (Puka Nacua, Gunner Romney). Pick: Texas wins 41-24 and COVERS the spread. See which other teams the model likes here. Out of all my Week 3 XFL picks, my favorite has to be for the Battlehawks to cover the spread against the . Now, he has turned his attention to the Week 3college football odds from Caesars and is sharing his top three best bets over at SportsLine. One of the college picks the model is high on in Week 3: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish cover the 12-point spread against the Cal Golden Bears at home in a 2:30 p.m. If the Cougars the most recent football team outside a power conference to win a national championship (1984) replicate Cincinnatis undefeated run from last season, their schedule may be considered strong enough to vault them ahead of one-loss power conference champions. The Jayhawks have already notched one upset this season, taking down West Virginia as 14-point underdogs last week. The best team in the MAC deserves more respect. See College Football News stories in your feed, Auburn at Alabama Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, DePaul at UConn Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Maryland at Ohio State Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Pitt at Notre Dame Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Oklahoma at Kansas State Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Chicago State at Gonzaga Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Vanderbilt at Kentucky Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Xavier at Providence Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Texas at TCU Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview, Privacy Notice / Your California Privacy Rights. The Bulldogs also yielded 323 rushing yards in that loss. Pete Fiutak, CFN: Florida State And this one might fall into that category. Kansas can record its first 3-0 start to a season since 2009 if it pulls off an upset at Houston on Saturday afternoon during the Week 3 college football schedule. Penn St at Auburn | Ole Miss at Georgia Tech The Broncos, however, have allowed 65 points while losing by 22 to then-No. 3 Ohio State vs. Toledo, 7 p.m. on Fox. UConn at Michigan | Oklahoma at Nebraska Junior quarterback Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 529 yards and five touchdowns, while senior running back Eric Gray is averaging 6.7 yards per carry. Texas State had 25 carries for one yard in its season opener against Nevada, and it is already evident that the Bears have a solid front seven. Eastern Mich at Arizona St |Results So Far Since the beginning of 2011, the Bison are 151-12, including 5-0 against FBS opponents. Indiana was ranked to open the season, but it was blown out at No. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Week 3 of the college football season features two matchups between ranked teams and two rematches from last season that should draw interest. How else could a public university justify not waiting two weeks (the team has a bye next week!) Sure, beating then-No. Weber State crushed Utah State, Holy Cross beat Buffalo on a Hail Mary, Eastern Kentucky knocked off Bowling Green in seven overtimes, and Incarnate Word dropped 55 points on Nevada. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. The Buckeyes are 0-2 ATS this season. They should move the ball against a USC defense that allowed 33 first downs to a not-offensively-elite Stanford. Pick: Michigan wins 52-6 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 3 7. This one has "Bryce Young throws five touchdowns before halftime and gets the rest of the afternoon off" written all over it. not even the tide. 20 Kentucky (in a game the Gators led 16-7) proved that. ET. Jordan-Hare Stadium barely helped the Tigers sneak past San Jose State. Each team bounced back from being upset in Week 1. 6 Oklahoma to cover the 11.5-point spread against Nebraska on a midday ET kickoff in Lincoln. Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction, Eric Bolin, RazorbacksWire.com: Florida State The Utes are the better team on paper and must show it on the field. BYU has an opportunity to make a massive statementthis weekend. The Wildcats started 2-0 last season, then trailed in the fourth quarter before beating perennial FCS power Chattanooga 28-23 in Week 3. All times Eastern. 22 Tigers. Anyone who has followed it. E, CFN Florida State 12 BYU at No. The Tigers did manage to eke out a three-point win last year despite allowing 371 yards and three touchdowns through the air, and that was a drastic improvement from getting lit up for 623 yards and five touchdowns in the 2020 opener against the Bulldogs. Second-Likeliest: Stony Brook at Massachusetts, 3:30 p.m. on ESPN3. 11 nationally in rushing yards per game (249.5). The Plays. Pick: Ole Miss wins 42-20 and COVERS the spread. Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction Florida State at Louisville Line: Florida State -2, o/u: 54.5 College football's Week 3 slate for the 2022 season features 72 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. Dont expect Marcus Freeman to lose his first four games as coach of the Fighting Irish, but losing starting quarterback Tyler Buchner to injury will cause even more problems for an offense that ranks 104th in the nation. No. They have a chance to turn heads on Saturday afternoon in Bloomington. The Seawolves went 5-6 last year and opened this campaign with a 21-point loss to Rhode Island. Before locking in any college football bets on those games or others, be sure to see the top Week 3 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee. 7 USC vs. Fresno State, 10:30 p.m. on Fox. Or, more importantly, can Fresno State do anything to slow down the runaway freight train that is the USC offense? The Western Kentucky offense isn't as prolific as it was last year when Bailey Zappe was running the show, but with another FCS quarterback (Austin Reed from West Florida), the Hilltoppers can still score in bunches, averaging 43.5 points in the early going. As of Tuesday,coach Lane Kiffin had not named a starter. To Liberty's credit, it moved the ball against Southern Mississippi and UAB in its first two games of life after Malik Willis. Plus, other interesting matchups. Auburn comes in with two impressive wins over inferior opponents in new Coach Brian Harsin's . If you haven't already ripped up your Richardson Heisman ticket, you will enjoy this game. The Hogs should score pretty much at will, though, and their pass rush figures to cause all sorts of problems for the Bears offensive line. Florida State clipped LSU 24-23 on Sunday of Week 1, and Louisvilleafter a stunning 31-7 loss to Syracuse to open the seasonupset UCF 20-14 on Friday. Prediction: Kentucky 38, Youngstown State 7, No. trojans couldn't even wait until the mnc game to get outmuscled. It's tough to know what to make of Pitt this week with the health of Kedon Slovis up in the air. 13 Iowa in 2016, but it should be just like riding a bicycle for North Dakota State. This is the first meeting between the programs since Purdue's 51-0 rout in 2004. Each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time. Cal comes into this game undefeated, despite struggling at home against UC Davis and UNLV. Nevada at Iowa POINT TOTAL 39.5 ATS PICK Under This is totally obscene. We don't really see that being a problem, but stranger things have already happened this season. 2 Ohio State in the opening week of the season, but that feels like a distant memory after the Fighting Irish lost that game . 16 NC State vs. Texas Tech, 7 p.m. on ESPN2. No. It may be years before we see a repeat of last week. The Utes are much better now than they were in the first three quarters of that game, and a season-opening loss to Arizona suggests San Diego State may have gotten considerably worse. There is not much worse than facing Alabama the week after it gets humbled. We've received your submission. Will Florida get the version of Anthony Richardson who ran all over Utah or the one who threw two back-breaking interceptions and was limited to just four rushing yards against Kentucky? The Cardinals' dual-threat quarterback had at least 260 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in all three of those games, but Florida State won the one when it sacked Cunningham six times. And to that end, LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels rushed for 114 yards against FSU. Louisiana Tech put up 24 points in a 28-point loss at Missouri to open its season, but the task is far greater this weekend at Death Valley. The under (58.5) is also coming through with some room for error. The Huskers' defense allows 31.0 points per game, which isn't going to be good enough against an old Big 12 rival. Zach Evans and Quinshod Judkins both have big games on the ground. The Bulldogs had solid defensive numbers last season, but above-average offenses more or less had their way with them. All rights reserved. In fact, they have a three-game losing streak against the FCS if you go back to a 45-20 loss to Southern Illinois in 2019. Regardless of who is under center, or both, could be in for a big day against a Georgia Tech defense that's allowed 530 passing yards and four touchdowns on the young season. Pick: Oregon wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread. Since October 2017, Connecticut is 1-38 against FBS opponents. Toledo is expected to challenge for a Mid-American Conference title, but since 1998, are 0-4 against ranked Big Ten opponents. This could turn out to be one of the most fun games of the weekend. Over the past three-plus years, he is 111-92 in his popular best bets column at SportsLine, including going 6-3 so far this season. Under first-year head coach Joey McGuire, the Red Raiders have gotten back to what they used to do best: throw, throw and throw some more. 10 Arkansas, before finishing the regular season with trips to Boise State and Stanford. No. Penn State has not covered the spread in its last six tries against an SEC team. Sean Tyler and La'darius Jefferson have a big day on the ground, and WMU gets it done. They are still the better team. If Kansas has figured something out on offense and it hasn't just been a two-week fluke, it will be able to move the ball. Before locking in any Week 3 college football picks for those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model. This should be a fun one. Usually for these nominations, we target a terrible FBS team. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Pick: Pitt wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Louisville It should be easy for the unproven sophomore after the monumental upset to Appalachian State last week. blue whale: let us keep it PAC 12 12 BYU and No. 8 Cincinnati covers as a 3.5-point favorite at Indiana. The Aztecs wont replicate their triple-overtime upset of last year over the Utes, but Brady Hokes defense the best in the Mountain West last season remains strong enough to limit the damage. Best college football bonuses If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for some college football betting, here are two. They've allowed 24 points. 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Purdue is coming off a 49-0 blowout win at Connecticut, but the model has highlighted an overreaction in the betting market. Finally, we end the show as always with our fantasy football picks to click (32:20). It's still a high spread, but we'll lean toward the blowout to get back on track. Over the final six games last season, Miami's Tyler Van Dyke averaged 365.7 passing yards and 3.3 passing touchdowns. The Cornhuskers fired Scott Frost because they were fed up with watching him lose close games. With 26 wins over the past three seasons, Liberty is no slouch. Florida St at Louisville | Air Force at Wyoming No. MORE: Ranking Nebraska's 10 best candidates to replace Scott Frost. Spread Options: College football picks against the spread for Week 3. Hugh Freeze has a solid team, but they might be able to keep up in the second half. Which quarterbacks do you trust more? Here are the college football lines for some of Week 3's most notable matchups: Michigan State vs. Miami (FL) (-6.5, 54.5), Northern Illinois vs. Michigan (-27, 54.5), Virginia Tech vs. West Virginia (-2.5, 50.5). 25 Oregon on Saturday afternoon. Clemson uses this one to get a running game that averages 3.9 yards per carry going. Week 3 provides plenty of opportunities for value plays. In the FCS vs. FBS section, instead of forecasting scores, we ranked which games are most likely to result in a loss for the FBS squad. First downs to a not-offensively-elite Stanford three seasons, Liberty is No slouch that averages 3.9 yards per game 249.5. 20-Game home winning streak, while BYU is coming off a 49-0 win... Houston in the second half Van Dyke averaged 365.7 passing yards and 3.3 passing touchdowns with watching him lose games... Regular season 3 Ohio State vs. Texas Tech, 8 p.m. on CBS, this was a showdown! 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